Biden's Struggles and Achievements in the First Term
During his first term, Biden faced challenges in healing the political and cultural divisions he believes are tearing American society apart. However, he has also achieved significant legislative accomplishments and worked to reassert American leadership on the world stage.
Biden's Midterm Success and Second-Term Plans
Following the Democrats' better-than-expected performance in the November midterms, Biden intends to seek a second term. With Republicans controlling the House and major legislative action unlikely, Biden is focusing on selling his policies to the public, including visits to Japan and Australia next month to address China's growing influence.
Biden's Low Approval Ratings and Age Concerns
Biden faces persistently low approval ratings and concerns about his age, as he would be 86 by the end of a second term. Polls have consistently shown that most Americans, including a majority of Democrats, do not want him to seek a second term, with the lack of enthusiasm being especially prevalent among young voters.
Democratic Support to Keep Trump Out of Office
Despite these concerns, the desire to prevent Trump or a Trumpian alternative from reaching the White House remains strong among Democrats and independents. Most Democrats say they would back Biden if he is the party's nominee.
Unsettled Republican Field and Legal Challenges
While Biden is not expected to face any major challenge for the party nomination, the Republican field remains unsettled. Trump currently leads the pack but faces escalating legal challenges related to the 2020 election, handling of classified documents, payments to a porn star, and a rape allegation.
Biden's 2024 Prospects and Party's Future Leadership
Biden, who ran unsuccessfully for president twice before winning the Democratic nomination in 2020, has presented himself as a bridge to the next generation of Democratic leaders. However, with his heart and mind now set on a second term and little agreement over who might succeed him should he step aside, Biden appears best placed to be the party's standard-bearer in 2024.